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spread picks

Spread Picks March 4, 2009

NBA
7:35 pm(est)
Boston(-7.5) at New Jersey(+7.5)


The Boston Celtics have absolutely manhandled the New Jersey Nets of late winning 7 in a row from them and also going 7-0 ATS in those games. The Celtics should be able to take advantage of a tired Nets team who played last night in Milwaukee and had to fly home over night while the Celtics where already in New Jersey waiting comfortably. I am a little concerned about the fact that the public is all over Boston as well but i just can't see how the Nets hang around to make it a close game. One other key note to this series is the fact that the road team is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

Betting on: Boston(-7.5)(-110)(5.50 units)

Final Score:
Boston 115(lost)(-5.50 units)
New Jersey 11




NBA
9:05 pm(est)
San Antonio(+3) at Dallas(-3)


The Dallas Mavericks are coming off an embarrassing loss to Oklahoma city a couple of nights ago and rumor has it that the owner laid into the team afterwards. So every capper in the world is jumping on the Mavs tonight because they feel that the motivation factor will be there. If you look a little closer into the Mavs last 10 games you'll see that they have a 6-4 record, not bad right. Well in the games that they have won, they have played Toronto, Oklahoma city, Milwaukee, New Jersey and Sacramento twice!!! I hate to say it but that is not very good competition so those wins are a bit misleading. When looking at their loses in that same time period you see that those teams were Boston, Houston, San Antonio, Oklahoma City. With the exception of Oklahoma city the other teams on that list our serious contenders, so its safe to say the Mavericks feast on the weaker teams and are over matched by the better ones. I just don't see the motivation factor being all that relevant in this game and even if the Mavs win tonight, i still don't think they are serious contenders in the west.

Betting on: San Antonio(+3)(-110)(3.30 units)


Final Score:
San Antonio 102(lost)(-3.30 units)
Dallas 107




NBA
10:35 pm(est)
Memphis(+2) at L.A. Clippers(-2)


I promised myself i would no longer bet on the Clippers but Memphis is just as bad so i am leaning towards the under in this game. As i look at stats i can see that both teams are horrible shooting the basketball and both teams have gone under the total 4 of their last 5 games. I can also see that this series seems to go under every other time they meet, so with that being said the last time they met was on February 6th(125-106 clippers O/U 204.5) and that game flew way over the number.

Betting on: UNDER 194(-110)(5.50 units)

Final Score:
Memphis 118(lost)(-5.50 units)
L.A. Clippers 93

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